Financial Math FM/Time Value of Money
Learning objectives
editThe Candidate will understand and be able to perform calculations relating to present value, current value, and accumulated value.
Learning outcomes
editThe Candidate will be able to:
- Define and recognize the definitions of the following terms: interest rate (rate of interest), simple interest, compound interest, accumulation function, future value, current value, present value, net present value, discount factor, discount rate (rate of discount), convertible m-thly, nominal rate, effective rate, inflation and real rate of interest, force of interest, equation of value.
- Given any three of interest rate, period of time, present value, current value, and future value, calculate the remaining item using simple or compound interest. Solve time value of money equations involving variable force of interest.
- Given any one of the effective interest rate, the nominal interest rate convertible m-thly, the effective discount rate, the nominal discount rate convertible m-thly, or the force of interest, calculate any of the other items.
- Write the equation of value given a set of cash flows and an interest rate.
Interest
editDefinition. (Interest) Interest is the compensation that a borrower of an asset (or capital) pays a lender of capital for its use.
Remark.
- That is, interest is the extra thing (compensation) paid to lender, in addition to the capital.
Example. Suppose a bank lends Amy $100, and one month later Amy needs to pay back $110 to the bank. Then,
- is the capital;
- is the interest;
- Amy is a borrower;
- the bank is a lender.
Exercise. Fisher A lends fisher B a fishing rod for a week, for fisher B to catch fishes. In this week, 10% of fishes caught by fisher B (decimal numbers obtained are rounded up) need to be given to fisher A in return. For simplicity, suppose all fishes are identical.
Measurement of interest
editTerminologies
editIn the following, we will introduce some terminologies used in the measurement of interest.
Definition. (Principal) The principal is the initial amount of money invested.
Definition. (Accumulated value) The accumulated value (or future value) at time is the total amount received at time .
Definition. (Interest (alternative definition)) The interest earned during a period of investment is the difference between the accumulated value and the principal.
Remark.
- This alternative definition is equivalent to the above definition of interest.
Example. Amy invests $100 into a fund that pays $200 one year later. Then,
- the principal is ;
- the accumulated value (after one year) is ;
- the interest (earned during this year) is .
Exercise.
Definition. (Measurement period) The measurement period is the unit in which time is measured.
Remark.
- The measurement period is often years.
Definition. (Accumulation function) The accumulation function, denoted by , is the function that gives the ratio of the accumulated value at time to the principal.
Remark.
- , since the accumulated value at time 0 equals the principal, and thus the ratio is 1.
Definition. (Amount function) The amount function denoted by , is the function that gives the accumulated value at time of principal of nonnegative number .
Remark.
- , since the accumulated value at time 0 equals the principal, which is by definition.
- Also, , since .
We denote the interest earned during the th period ( is a positive integer) from the date of investment (i.e. from the beginning of th period [1] to the end of th period [2] by .
By definition, , in which
- is the accumulated value at the end of th period, and
- is the accumulated value at the start of th period.
Example. Define for each time .
- This is a valid accumulation function, since .
- Also, , and
- the interest earned with principal of one from to is , in which is the accumulated value at time 1, and is the principal.
Exercise.
Effective interest rate
editDefinition. (Effective interest rate) The effective interest rate, denoted by , is the ratio of the amount of interest earned during the period to the principal.
Remark.
- It follows that the effective interest rate during the th period from the investment date, denoted by , is
- in which is sometimes denoted by , meaning the amount of interest.
- Unless otherwise stated, rates are expressed as annual rates.[3].
Example. .
Proof. Suppose the principal is . Then, as desired.
Example. for each nonnegative integer .
Proof. For each nonnegative integer , as desired.
Exercise. Define for each positive integer , and . Suppose .
Simple interest
editFor simple interest, under the simple interest rate , the interest earned during each period is calculated according to the principal (and so is constant), i.e. the interest earned is , i.e. for each positive integer . So, Since , for each nonnegative integer . Intuitively, we may expect that the same form of accumulation function also holds for other nonnegative numbers.
Definition. (Simple interest) The accumulation of interest according to the accumulation function is the simple interest, in which is the simple interest rate.
Remark.
- Since for simple interest, does not equal the simple interest rate in general.
Example. Ivan invests $10000 into a bank account which pays simple interest with an annual rate of 5%. The balance in Ivan's account after two years is .
Exercise.
Example. For simple interest,
Proof. as desired.
Compound interest
editFor compound interest, the interest earned for each period is calculated according to the accumulated value at the beginning of that period.
To be more precise, with principal of and compound interest rate , at the end of first year, the interest earned is , and thus the accumulated value is .
Thus, at the end of second year, the interest earned is , and so the accumulated value is
Using the same argument, at the end of th year, the interest received is , and the accumulated value is . We obtain the accumulation function with nonnegative integer as input here, namely .
Intuitively, we may expect that the same form of accumulation function also holds for other nonnegative numbers. This motivates the definition of compound interest.
Definition. (Compound interest) The accumulation of interest according to the accumulation function is the compound interest, in which is the compound interest rate.
Example. Ivan invests $10000 into a bank account which pays compound interest with an annual rate of 5%. Then, the balance in Ivan's account after two years is .
Exercise.
Example. For compound interest rate , the effective interest rate during the th period .
Proof.
Remark.
- Because of this nice result, from now on, every interest (rate) is assumed to be compound interest (rate) unless stated otherwise.
Effective discount rate
editThe effective interest rate was defined as a measure of interest paid at the end of the period. However, there are also discount rates, denoted by , which is a measure of the interest paid at the beginning of the period.
Example.
- If Amy borrows $100 from a bank for a year at an effective interest rate of 5%, then the bank will give Amy $100 at the beginning of the year, and at the end of the year, Amy will repay the bank $100 plus the interest of $5, a total of $105.
- On the other hand, if Amy is charged by an effective discount rate of 5%, then Amy will need to pay the interest of $5 at the beginning of the year, so the bank will only give Amy at the beginning, and Amy will repay the bank $100 at the end (interest is paid already).
We can see from this example that the effective interest rate is a percentage of the principal, while the effective discount rate is a percentage of the balance at the end of the year. Thus, we can define effective discount rate more precisely as follows:
Definition. (Effective discount rate) The effective discount rate, denoted by , is the ratio of the amount of interest earned during the period to the amount invested at the end of the period.
Remark.
- It follows that the effective discount rate during the th period, denoted by , is
Example. In the above example, the effective discount rate is 5% since .
Example. .
Proof.
Example. .
Proof. For each positive integer ,
Example. Given that , then In contrast,
Exercise.
Simple discount rate
editFor simple discount, the interest paid is calculated according to the accumulated value at the end of th period. That is, the interest paid at the beginning of each period is (constant), i.e. for each positive integer .
So, Since [4], for each nonnegative integer such that (so that the accumulation function is defined). Similarly, we may intuitively expect that the same form of accumulation function holds for other nonnegative numbers, which motivates the following definition.
Definition. (Simple discount) The accumulation of discount according to the accumulation function is the simple discount, in which is the simple discount rate.
Compound discount rate
editFor compound discount, the interest paid at the beginning of each period is calculated according to the balance at the end of that period.
To be more precise, suppose and the compound discount rate is . At the beginning of th year, the interest paid is , and so the balance at the beginning of th year is .
Since the balance at the end of th year (which is the same as that at the beginning of th year) is , the interest paid at the beginning of th year is , and thus the balance at the beginning is .
Using the same argument, the balance at the beginning of first year is , i.e. , and we can see that similarly for each nonnegative integer . This motivates the following generalized definition similarly.
Definition. (Compound discount) The accumulation of interest according to the accumulation function is the compound discount, in which is the compound discount rate.
Example.
- Amy invests 1000 into a fund with compound discount rate , and she receives 2000 after ten years.
- Then, we know that
- Then, we can calculate that the accumulated value after 100 years is
Exercise.
Suppose the fund value accumulates at different rates according to the following pattern: for each nonnegative integer ,
- during th year, the fund values accumulate at simple interest rate of 5%;
- during th year, the fund values accumulate at simple discount rate of 5%;
- during th year, the fund values accumulate at compound interest rate of 5%;
- during th year, the fund values accumulate at compound discount rate of 5%.
Equivalent rates
editDefinition. (Equivalent rates) Two interest or discount rates are equivalent if a given amount of principal invested for the same length of time at each of the rates produces the same accumulated value.
Remark.
- It means that the corresponding accumulation functions have the same output with the same input.
- The " " and " " in the exam FM questions are assumed to be equivalent, since it is assumed that , which will be shown below to be equivalent to the equivalence of and .
Example. Suppose is an effective interest rate and is an effective discount rate that is equivalent to . Then, .
Proof. Since they are equivalent, their accumulation functions are equal in value with the same input. In particular, with input ,
Remark.
- It follows that if and only if and are equivalent, since .
- Also, .
Example. Suppose is an effective interest rate and is an effective discount rate that is equivalent to . Then, .
Proof. Since they are equivalent,
Exercise.
Nominal rates
editWe have discussed effective interest and discount rates. For those effective rates, the interest is paid exactly once per measurement period (either at the beginning (for discount rates) or at the end (for interest rates)).
However, the interest can be paid more than once per measurement period, and the interest and discount rates, for which the interest is paid more than once per measurement period, are called nominal, rather than effective, rates.
Definition. (Nominal interest and discount rates) Nominal interest and discount rates are rates for which the interest is paid more than once per measurement period.
The reason for calling those rates as "nominal" is that the notation for the nominal interest (discount) rate payable (or "convertible" or "compounded") thly per measurement period is ( ),
and its value is a nominal value only, in the sense that the actual rate used in the calculation for each payment is ( ) by definition, rather than ( ), and this is the thly rate.
Example. Amy deposits 1000 into a bank account with 24% interest compounded monthly (i.e. "12thly", compounded 12 times a year). Then,
- the nominal interest rate ;
- the accumulated value after a year (or 12 months) is ,
- by regarding "months" as the measurement period, since the monthly rate is , and there are 12 measurement periods, and thus the result follows from the definition of compound interest.
- We can see that the effective interest rate is approximately , which is different from the nominal rate of 24%, showing how the nominal rate is "nominal" again.
Exercise.
Example. The nominal interest rate convertible monthly, denoted by , that is equivalent to is calculated by
Exercise.
Force of interest
editWe have discussed nominal interest rates, and in this subsection, we will discuss what will happen if the compounding frequency gets higher and higher, i.e. the in "compounded thly" becomes larger and larger, to the infinity. We call this "compounded continuously".
To be more precise, we would like to know the value of during the "infinitesimal" time interval which tends to be simply the time point , and we call this force of interest at time , denoted by . Now, we would like to develop a formula for .
For nominal interest rate , we have the following relationship between and by definition (treating of year as measurement period, then the effective interest rate during the period is by definition): So, taking limit, This motivates the definition of force of interest.
Definition. (Force of interest) The force of interest at time , denoted by , is defined by .
Remark.
- It follows that , since and thus .
- The expression may be interpreted as relative rate of change of the amount function at time , in the sense that it tells the rate of change at time equals what portion of , such that is independent from the value of .
- Thus, the force of interest measure the "intensity" of interest at time , since the only factor that change is interest.
Proposition. (Expression of accumulation function in terms of force of interest)
Proof.
Remark.
- A corollary is that , which is sometimes useful.
Proposition. (Constant force of interest) If and only if the force of interest over a measurement period is constant, denoted by , and the effective interest rate during the time interval is , .
Proof.
- Without loss of generality, suppose the measurement period is . Then,
Remark.
- In general, if and only if the force of interest over measurement periods, say time interval , is constant, the accumulation function
Example. (Equivalency between forces of interest and discount) The force of discount can be analogously [5] defined by . Then, the force of discount .
Proof.
- Similar to the motivation for force of interest, we have
- Taking limit,
Remark.
- Thus, it suffices to discuss force of interest, but not force of discount.
Example. Value of a fund accumulates at 10% (annual, which is assumed) force of interest, i.e. . Amy invests 10000 into the fund. Then, the accumulated value of the investment is .
Exercise.
Example. Value of a fund accumulates at the annual force of interest for each nonnegative (in years, i.e. means "at the end of th year", since the time interval from to is the th year.). Then, the accumulated value at with principal one is
Exercise.
Example.
- Amy deposits 100 into a bank and the deposit of 100 accumulates according to the force of interest
- in which is in years.
- Then, the accumulated value of the deposit at the end of 8th year is
- the accumulated value at the end of 11th year is
Exercise.
Present, current and future values
editFrom previous sections, we have seen that money has a time value because of the interest, in the sense that $1 today will worth more than $1 after a period of time (assuming positive interest rate).
To be more precise, an investment of will accumulate to at the end of one period, in which is the effective interest rate during the period. In particular, the term is called accumulation factor, since it accumulates the investment value at the beginning to its value at the end. Graphically, it looks like the following time diagram (a graph represents statuses at different time).
*----------* | | | v k | k(1+i) ---*----------*---- beg end
We would often like to do something "reverse" to calculating the accumulated value given the principal. That is, calculating the principal given the accumulated value. Since the principal is the investment value at initial time, which is often now (or present), the "reverse" calculation is essentially calculating the present value of the investment, given its accumulated (or future) value at the future.
To be more precise, we would like to calculate the principal (or present value, denoted by ) such that it accumulates to (which is future value, denoted by ) at the end of one period. Using equation to describe this situation, we have in which is the effective interest rate during this period. The term , which is denoted by [6], is the discount factor, since it "discounts" the future value to the present value.
*----------* | | v | k/1+i | k ---*----------*---- beg end
The term current value (which is "at the middle" of present and future values) is sometimes used. It means the value of the payments at a specified date, and some payments are made before that date, while some payments are made after that date.
We have discussed how to calculate the present value for one period, but we can generalize the result to more than one period.
To be more precise, we would like to also calculate the present value given the future value at the end of periods.
We can use the accumulation function to describe this situation in general [7].
in which is the inverse function of [8].
Also, given multiple future values, we can calculate the total present value of these future values by summing up all present values corresponding to these future values.
Example. In exchange for your car, John has promised to pay you 5,000 after one year and 10,000 after three years. Using an annual effective interest rate of 5%, the present value of these payments is Time diagram:
*--------------------* | | *-------* | | | | | | | v 5000 10000 ----*------*------------*---- t 0 1 3
Exercise.
Remark.
- It is often useful to draw a rough time diagram to understand the situation given in the question.
Example. A fund provides payment of 50000 at the end of 7th year. Suppose there is annual force of interest ( is in years). Then, the present value of the payment is
Proof.
- First, the inverse of accumulation function corresponding to the force of interest at is
- The result follows from the relationship .
Exercise.
Equations of value
editFor two or more payments at different time points, to compare them fairly, we need to accumulate or discount them to a common time point, so that the effects on payments from the time value of money are eliminated.
The equation which accumulates or discounts each payment as in above is called the equation of value.
Indeed, we have encountered equations of value in previous sections, since an example of equations of value is calculating present values of multiple payments ("present" is the common time point).
The concepts involved in equations of value have been discussed previously.
Inflation and real interest rate
editIn previous sections, we have not consider the effect from inflation, and we will introduce how interest rates changes under inflation.
Because of the inflation, there are two types of interest rates, namely nominal interest rate [9] and real interest rate.
For nominal interest rate, it is the same as the "normal" interest rate discussed previously, and thus is denoted by .
Definition. (Real interest rate) The real interest rate, denoted by , is the interest rate with inflation effect eliminated. To be more precise, the real interest rate is defined by with inflation rate for the corresponding year at which interest rates are calculated.[10].
Remark.
- By definition of (annual) inflation rate, , so , and thus can be interpreted as adjusting the price level at which the interest is paid (i.e. at the end of the year) to the price level at the beginning, so the change in price level in this year is eliminated.
- An approximation of real interest rate is , since ( is small).
Example.
- Suppose the annual inflation rate is 5% and the nominal interest rate is 4%.
- Then, the annual real interest rate is
- In general, the (effective) nominal interest rate during years is , and
- the inflation rate for years is .
- So, the real (effective) interest rate during years is .
- As we can see here, if the nominal interest rate is compound interest rate, the resulting real interest rate is also compound interest rate.
- We can use real interest rate for various calculations, e.g. calculating present values, i.e. use the real interest rate for the " " in formulas.
Proof. Let be the real interest rate. Then, by definition,
Exercise.
References
edit- ↑ It is usually assumed to be the same as the end of th period
- ↑ It is usually assumed to be the same as the start of th period
- ↑ https://www.soa.org/globalassets/assets/Files/Edu/2019/exam-fm-notation-terminology2.pdf
- ↑ is the inverse function of
- ↑ It is analogous to the motivation of force of interest, in which force of interest can be defined as .
- ↑ possibly with subscript , indicating the corresponding effective interest rate
- ↑ This holds for simple and compound interests, and also other arbitrary (valid) accumulation functions whose inverse exists.
- ↑ i.e. by definition,
- ↑ This phrase has different meaning compared to the same phrase in the context for "payable more than once per measurement period"
- ↑ This is known as Fisher equation.