File:Gaussianprocess posteriorMeanNoise.svg

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English: Posterior gaussian process with input noise visualized with posterior mean and confidence interval
Date
Source Own work
Author Physikinger
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Source code
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Python code

#This source code is public domain 
#Author: Christian Schirm
import numpy, scipy.spatial
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
def covMat(x1, x2, covFunc, noise=0):  # Covariance matrix
    cov = covFunc(scipy.spatial.distance_matrix(numpy.atleast_2d(x1).T, numpy.atleast_2d(x2).T))
    if noise: cov += numpy.diag(numpy.ones(len(cov))*noise)
    return cov

def interpol(x_known, y_known, x_unknown, covFunc, noise=0, sigmaPrior=1):
    Ckk = covMat(x_known, x_known, covFunc)
    Cuk = covMat(x_unknown, x_known, covFunc, noise=0)
    y_unknown = numpy.dot(Cuk, numpy.dot(numpy.linalg.inv(Ckk), y_known)) 
    CkkInv = numpy.linalg.inv(Ckk)
    sigma_unknown = numpy.sqrt(sigmaPrior * sigmaPrior - numpy.diag(numpy.dot(Cuk, numpy.dot(CkkInv, Cuk.T))))
    return y_unknown, sigma_unknown
    
covFunc = lambda d: numpy.exp(-(d**1.9/8.)) # Covariance function

x_known = numpy.array([2,3,7])
y_known = numpy.array([-1,0,1])
x_unknown = numpy.linspace(0, 10, 300)
y_unknown, sigma_unknown = interpol(x_known, y_known, x_unknown, covFunc)    

Ckk = covMat(x_known, x_known, covFunc, noise=0.1)
Cuu = covMat(x_unknown, x_unknown, covFunc, noise=0.00)
CkkInv = numpy.linalg.inv(Ckk)
Cuk = covMat(x_unknown, x_known, covFunc, noise=0.0)
m = 0 #numpy.mean(y)
covPost = Cuu - numpy.dot(numpy.dot(Cuk,CkkInv),Cuk.T)
y_unknown = numpy.dot(numpy.dot(Cuk,CkkInv),y_known)

fig = plt.figure(figsize=(4.0,2))
plt.plot(x_unknown, y_unknown,  label=u'Prediction')
sigma = numpy.sqrt(numpy.diag(covPost))
plt.plot(x_known, y_known,'ko')
plt.fill_between(x_unknown.ravel(), y_unknown - sigma, y_unknown + sigma, color = '0.85')
plt.axis([0,10,-3,3])
plt.savefig('Gaussianprocess_posteriorMeanNoise.svg')

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I, the copyright holder of this work, hereby publish it under the following license:
Creative Commons CC-Zero This file is made available under the Creative Commons CC0 1.0 Universal Public Domain Dedication.
The person who associated a work with this deed has dedicated the work to the public domain by waiving all of their rights to the work worldwide under copyright law, including all related and neighboring rights, to the extent allowed by law. You can copy, modify, distribute and perform the work, even for commercial purposes, all without asking permission.

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21 August 2017

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current21:56, 21 August 2017Thumbnail for version as of 21:56, 21 August 2017360 × 180 (27 KB)PhysikingerUser created page with UploadWizard

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